ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 022123 
SPC MCD 022123 
KSZ000-022300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1685
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0423 PM CDT Thu Sep 02 2021

Areas affected...Central Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 022123Z - 022300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Storm coverage/intensity increasing across central Kansas.
A watch may be needed.

DISCUSSION...Storms have developed across the warm sector in central
Kansas in an airmass with around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and effective
shear around 30 to 35 knots leading to some updraft organization.
The primary severe threat is still expected to be with development
along the front later, especially into southern Nebraska, but
ongoing activity has shown enough persistence/intensity for earlier
watch consideration.

..Bentley/Guyer.. 09/02/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

LAT...LON   37660014 38859933 39509846 39729712 38839709 37539793
            37199985 37660014 

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