ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 261853 
SPC MCD 261853 
MNZ000-WIZ000-262030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1611
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0153 PM CDT Thu Aug 26 2021

Areas affected...Southeast MN

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 261853Z - 262030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts remain possible with the
small thunderstorm cluster moving into southeast Minnesota. New
watch issuance is unlikely in the short term.

DISCUSSION...While the earlier well-organized MCS across MN has
mostly decayed, convection remains relatively vigorous
west/southwest of the Twin Cities area in southeast MN. The surface
reflection of this system is not as strong as noted earlier, though
rather substantial pressure rises are still being noted in the
immediate wake of the line. Limited buoyancy on the 18Z MPX suggests
that substantial reintensification of this cluster is unlikely, but
the relative dryness noted below 900mb may allow for some stronger
gusts to mix to the surface, despite the notable low-level
stability. Since the threat is expected to remain relatively limited
in areal coverage and magnitude, short-term watch issuance is
unlikely.

..Dean/Dial.. 08/26/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   45089400 45129336 45109282 44909249 44609237 44269243
            44289337 44299376 44349403 44599410 45089400 

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