ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 232132 COR
SPC MCD 232132 COR
NMZ000-232300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1332
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0432 PM CDT Fri Jul 23 2021

Areas affected...portions of central and southwest New Mexico

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 232132Z - 232300Z

CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected to persist
through the evening.

DISCUSSION...Strong cells have developed in central New Mexico this
afternoon with one report of 1.75 inch hail thus far. Additional
severe storms have developed with a 2.5 inch MESH core across
southern Torrance County as of 2120Z. Expect additional development
through the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening as the
airmass across western New Mexico has warmed into the low 90s ahead
of the westward-drifting upper low. Expect storms to be mostly
strong to isolated severe. However, if the activity currently in
central New Mexico congeals as it drifts southwestward there could
be a greater potential for more organized severe storms with a
damaging-wind threat. Effective shear of 30 to 35 knots per SPC
mesoanalysis would support the potential for some organization. If
this occurs a severe thunderstorm watch may need to be considered.

..Bentley/Edwards.. 07/23/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON   35480685 35230587 34750547 34320530 33470540 32790579
            32390652 32330762 32530791 33010828 33860862 35350872
            35480685 

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