ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 120758 
SPC MCD 120758 
OKZ000-TXZ000-120930-

Mesoscale Discussion 0934
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 AM CDT Sat Jun 12 2021

Areas affected...portions of southwest OK into north TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 120758Z - 120930Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Strong wind gusts around 50-60 mph will accompany storms
shifting southward across parts of southwest Oklahoma into northwest
Texas early this morning.

DISCUSSION...The western portions of an MCS across central OK has
shows some recent intensification with measured wind gusts from the
Oklahoma Mesonet around 50-60 mph. One stronger gust to 73 mph was
measured at Acme near the apex of the bowing segment. The downstream
airmass is characterized by low 70s dewpoints and strong DCAPE,
along with steep 2-6 km lapse rates. This is likely supporting some
stronger, near-severe level wind gusts despite strong low level
inhibition and warm 850-700 mb temperatures and weak low level jet.
Some strong gusts around 50-60 mph are expected to continue over the
next couple of hours as the line of storms shifts generally
southward toward the Red River at around 40 kt. While some strong
gust are expected, with an isolated gust greater than 60 mph
possible, overall severe/widespread damaging wind potential is
expected to remain sporadic/limited and a watch is not expected at
this time.

..Leitman/Thompson.. 06/12/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   35249761 35229733 35039714 34649717 34029748 33689776
            33529833 33539881 33639924 33999940 34479942 34999923
            35339902 35399884 35319839 35219787 35249761 

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