ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 022156 
SPC MCD 022156 
TXZ000-030030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0840
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0456 PM CDT Wed Jun 02 2021

Areas affected...central and southeast Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 022156Z - 030030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Storms may increase in coverage along a front from the
Austin area toward Houston. Isolated strong wind gusts or marginal
hail cannot be ruled out.

DISCUSSION...Moderate instability with 2000-2500 J/kg MLCAPE has
developed along and south of a stalled front extending from central
into southeast Texas this afternoon. Winds in the low levels are
weak, but increasing winds aloft in the mid to high levels may
support a few southeastward-moving clusters as storms develop near
the front. Other storms ongoing near San Angelo may also persist
southeastward near the boundary, with marginal wind or hail threat.
Currently, it appears expected severe coverage downstream of watch
233 may not warrant a new watch, but one could be needed should
storms become better organized with any substantial wind threat.

..Jewell/Thompson.. 06/02/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   29769699 30199814 30589890 30929921 31259927 31459904
            31549851 31079639 30639493 30299468 29879477 29599507
            29539548 29769699 

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