ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 312029 
SPC MCD 312029 
TXZ000-NMZ000-312200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0827
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

Areas affected...southeast New Mexico and west Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 229...

Valid 312029Z - 312200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 229
continues.

SUMMARY...Clusters of severe thunderstorms will persist into the
evening. Very large hail is the primary threat. However, a couple of
tornadoes will be possible.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to develop this afternoon across
the region within a sheared, unstable, and weakly-capped
environment. The strongest thunderstorm appear to be across Pecos
County, TX, with additional intense clusters across Reeves and
Loving Counties, TX. Very large hail will be possible in both areas
in the near term. With time, a southward surging outflow boundary,
currently across Reagan, Upton, and Crane Counties, will interact
with both supercell clusters. This interaction may result in an
uptick in tornado potential.

Elsewhere, the severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch #229 with large hail the primary threat in the short term.

..Marsh.. 05/31/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON   30620492 32000491 32000484 32510485 32510536 32980535
            33290532 33300572 33380573 33380638 33470637 33470771
            34560772 34580690 34430643 34280641 34260531 34350530
            34340489 34100488 34090479 34010478 34000416 34070415
            34080383 33840383 33810370 33650372 33660350 33590351
            33560305 32970305 32950221 32530219 32520014 32090015
            32080023 31590023 31590011 30300011 30280174 29780176
            29780210 29870233 30660344 30420378 30400389 30620492 

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