ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 302343 
SPC MCD 302343 
NMZ000-310045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0815
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0643 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

Areas affected...portions of central into southeast New Mexico

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227...

Valid 302343Z - 310045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227
continues.

SUMMARY...At least an isolated severe threat may linger across
portions of central, eastern, and southeastern New Mexico for at
least a couple more hours. Damaging gusts and large hail are the
main concerns. The best chance for large hail and perhaps a brief
tornado will be with the southernmost storms.

DISCUSSION...Multiple multicellular clusters as well as discrete and
semi-discrete supercells persist across Severe Thunderstorm Watch
#227. A few of the stronger storms from Chaves to Lea Counties, NM
have a history of producing severe hail and a couple of tornadoes
over the past hour or so. These storms have access to the best
instability (up to 1000 J/kg MLCAPE), and are expected to have the
most robust severe threat across eastern NM through this evening.
Storms farther northwest have been more numerous in nature, with
gradual convective overturning of the environment noted via 23Z
mesoanalysis. Still, an instance or two of hail/wind may accompany
these storms over the next few hours.

..Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/30/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON   33020467 33810558 34540618 35020595 35160521 34970422
            34640354 34350324 33890316 33450318 33130351 33020467 

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