ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 171018 
SPC MCD 171018 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-171145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0195
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0518 AM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

Areas affected...Portions of northeastern OK...southeastern KS...and
southwestern/west-central MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24...

Valid 171018Z - 171145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24
continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated large hail and strong/gusty wind threat
continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24.

DISCUSSION...A messy, cluster storm mode has developed across
northeastern OK into southeastern KS and southwestern/west-central
MO. This convection will likely remain elevated this morning to the
north of a surface boundary. Although storm mode is not overly
favorable, occasional marginally severe hail will remain possible
along an elevated instability gradient (MUCAPE 1000-2000 J/kg).
Isolated strong/gusty winds may also occur as individual cells
develop northeastward. Recently, additional convection has begun to
develop farther south into northeastern OK along a low-level warm
advection wing and where surface dewpoints are slightly higher
(generally mid to upper 50s). It remains to be seen whether storms
will be able to strengthen south of the ongoing band. If they do,
then all severe hazards, including a brief tornado, would be
possible.

..Gleason.. 03/17/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON   36129643 36329670 37269575 38349479 38279395 37779407
            37199459 36449551 36129643 

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