ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 150104 
SPC MCD 150104 
TXZ000-150700-

Mesoscale Discussion 0082
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0704 PM CST Sun Feb 14 2021

Areas affected...Portions of Texas Hill Country into Southeast Texas

Concerning...Heavy snow 

Valid 150104Z - 150700Z

SUMMARY...Pockets of moderate to heavy snow are possible in parts of
the DFW metro and eastward in the short term. The next area of heavy
snow to develop will likely be within the Edwards Plateau perhaps by
8-10 PM CST. This heavy snow will develop eastward into Southeast
Texas through the evening and overnight.

DISCUSSION...Current water vapor imagery shows another area of
mid-level ascent moving through the Big Bend region. This ascent is
forecast to pivot through the base of the broad upper-level trough
as it moves east. MRMS radar imagery shows heavier bands of
precipitation developing in Mexico that should begin to move into
the Edwards Plateau within the next 1-3 hours. 1 inch per hour
snowfall rates are possible as the favorable lift within the
dendritic growth layer moves through the region.

A band of moderate to heavy snow now moving east through the DFW
metro area will continue to bring around 1 inch per hour rates.
However, this is expected to decrease with time as the more
favorable synoptic ascent shifts to the south.

..Wendt.. 02/15/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   29310099 29760093 30140079 30769962 31429820 31989708
            32019670 31799599 31089549 30539554 29999663 29099846
            28729991 28850060 29190093 29310099 

NNNN