ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 190526 
SPC MCD 190526 
FLZ000-190630-

Mesoscale Discussion 2074
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1226 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2019

Areas affected...Portions of the FL Peninsula

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon 

Valid 190526Z - 190630Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...The threat for a few tornadoes will continue overnight.
Tornado Watch issuance is likely before 06Z.

DISCUSSION...Intensity has recently increased with semi-discrete
cells across the east-central FL Peninsula, while offshore
convection closer to the center of T.S. Nestor will gradually spread
eastward into the western FL Peninsula overnight. Low-level shear in
the vicinity of the warm front across the Peninsula, and further
west in closer proximity to the center, will continue to support a
threat of a few tornadoes. A Tornado Watch will be issued shortly.

..Dean/Edwards.. 10/19/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON   28928311 29198255 29298198 29398147 29458100 28168057
            27848042 27458104 27308165 27198210 27138275 27478321
            28528336 28928311 

NNNN