ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 160713 
SPC MCD 160713 
NEZ000-WYZ000-160845-

Mesoscale Discussion 1755
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0213 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2019

Areas affected...Nebraska Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 586...

Valid 160713Z - 160845Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 586
continues.

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms continue to move southeast out of eastern
Wyoming and into/across portions of the Nebraska Panhandle. The
threat for hail and gusty winds will continue for another couple of
hours.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to move southeast from eastern
Wyoming into and across the Nebraska Panhandle. These thunderstorms
are slightly offset to the east-northeast from the best corridor of
instability, being supported by warm-air advection originating
within the corridor of better moisture and instability. The airmass
feeding these thunderstorms has resulted in most-unstable CAPE
values around 1000 J/kg and deep-layer shear around 50-60 knots.
Given the organized nature of the ongoing thunderstorms, the
potential for severe hail and gusty winds will continue for the next
few hours before instability diminishes sufficiently -- and
inhibition increases sufficiently -- to weaken overall thunderstorm
intensity.

..Marsh.. 08/16/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...CYS...

LAT...LON   41390401 42790418 42530176 41160141 41390401 

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