ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 222020 
SPC MCD 222020 
NYZ000-CTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-222215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1571
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0320 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Areas affected...Connecticut southwest to northern Virginia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 538...

Valid 222020Z - 222215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 538
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk -- mainly in the form of locally damaging
winds -- continues across parts of WW 538.

DISCUSSION...The latest radar loop shows robust/locally severe
storms moving across the mid-Atlantic region and into southern New
England, with the most intense storms within a zone from far western
Connecticut and southeast New York southwestward to central
Maryland.  Within this zone, several storms/storm clusters are
moving quickly east-northeastward (at around 40 kt) and have had a
history of producing local wind damage.

With a zone of moderately unstable air from New Jersey southwest
across the Delmarva Peninsula, and area VWPs indicating a wind field
which veers/increases with height yielding sufficient shear for
organized storms, expect risk for damaging winds -- and possibly
some hail or even a brief tornado -- to continue as storms move
across southern New England and the mid-Atlantic region this
afternoon.

..Goss.. 07/22/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON   41847240 41127276 39837443 39017597 39237673 39787695
            40297665 41367500 41787355 41847240 

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