ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 262050 
SPC MCD 262050 
NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-262215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1260
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0350 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019

Areas affected...Vermont...western New hampshire...Western
Massachusetts...eastern New York...and northeast Pennsylvania

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 262050Z - 262215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...The threat for a few strong to severe storms will persist
for a few more hours.

DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms currently stretches from the
Canadian border into east central Pennsylvania. These storms have
occasionally produced some wind damage, but none of the storms have
posed a persistent severe threat. Expect isolated strong to severe
storms with occasional reports of wind damage to continue for a few
more hours before storms weaken as they encounter an increasingly
stable air mass with eastward extent. The eastward extent of the
instability is currently the Hudson River valley (evidenced by the
lack of surface based cu development on GOES 16). Cooling
temperatures aloft may allow for some additional destabilization in
the higher terrain east of the Hudson River valley and thus extend
the severe threat across this area. However, farther south the air
mass ahead of these storms is not expected to destabilize much
downstream. Given the short duration and marginal nature of the
severe threat, a severe thunderstorm watch is unlikely.

..Bentley/Hart.. 06/26/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...
CTP...

LAT...LON   44907376 45147367 45127249 45127147 44447139 43237179
            42557247 41887327 41587392 41137524 40917649 40947721
            41187735 41507687 41977625 43137531 43937511 44907376 

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