ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 262024 
SPC MCD 262024 
MTZ000-IDZ000-262200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1257
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0324 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019

Areas affected...Northeast Idaho and northwest Montana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 262024Z - 262200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected through the afternoon
and evening with a threat for large hail and damaging winds. Some
storms may be strong to severe. A severe thunderstorm watch is
unlikely.

DISCUSSION...Scattered high-based storms have developed across the
higher terrain of northern Idaho and northwest Montana. Expect storm
coverage to increase through the afternoon and lift northeastward.
MLCAPE is expected to peak around 500 to 1000 J/kg with the cooling
effects of significant convective coverage and cloud cover stunting
additional destabilization. Shear profiles will be supportive of
organized convection including the potential for some rotating
storms with the stronger updrafts. Expect the more intense storms to
remain isolated which will likely preclude the need for a severe
thunderstorm watch.

..Bentley/Hart.. 06/26/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TFX...MSO...BOI...OTX...

LAT...LON   48981379 49001256 48351196 47421192 46681230 45951297
            45491382 45161464 45351562 46161610 47731536 48841391
            48981379 

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