ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 231937 
SPC MCD 231937 
GAZ000-232030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1219
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0237 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

Areas affected...Parts of Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 231937Z - 232030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Storms have developed within an unstable airmass, posing a
threat for a few damaging wind gusts. Watch possible.

DISCUSSION...Visible satellite and radar shows a northwest to
southeast oriented area of enhanced convective development,
including a few pulse severe storms, over the region. Clear skies
this morning allowed convective temperatures near 90 F to be
exceeded amidst a residual moist airmass with dew point temperatures
in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Consequently, the airmass is quite
unstable, with steep low-level lapse rates (near 8 C/km) and MLCAPE
of 2000-2500 J/kg present over the region. However, deep-layer shear
remains rather weak.

Currently, storms are relatively isolated although becoming somewhat
scattered. Uncertainty exists in whether storms will remain isolated
or become more widespread. Given the aforementioned environmental
indices, storms that mature will pose a threat for damaging wind
gusts. Should the convective activity form into a few clusters or
become more widespread, a watch may be needed for parts of the area.

..Karstens/Hart.. 06/23/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   31158225 31848409 33348517 34018444 33898342 32928157
            31808131 31158225 

NNNN