ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 142004 
SPC MCD 142004 
GAZ000-ALZ000-142200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0345
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0304 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2019

Areas affected...Much of northern into west central Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 142004Z - 142200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Increasing strong to severe storm development appears
likely across west central through northern Georgia, including the
Greater Atlanta Metropolitan area, by 5-6 PM EDT.  Trends are being
monitored for the possibility of a severe weather watch.

DISCUSSION...Pre-frontal southerly low-level flow has veered and
weakened some across much of northern and western Georgia, but deep
layer shear remains strong to the east of a 90-100 kt southwesterly
500 mb jet streak.  A lingering seasonably moist boundary layer
appears weak to moderately unstable with CAPE on the order of
500-1000+ J/kg, and deepening cumulus clouds are evident ahead of
the front, across eastern Alabama into northern Georgia. 
Thunderstorms seem likely to initiate during the 21-23Z time frame,
at least a few of which may become severe.  Damaging wind gusts
appear the primary potential severe hazard, with some risk for
severe hail.  A tornado may not be out of the question, but this
threat appears relatively low.

..Kerr/Grams.. 04/14/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...FFC...BMX...

LAT...LON   34038500 34598467 34728366 34198355 32948445 32758476
            33048533 34038500 

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