ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 230040 
SPC MCD 230040 
TXZ000-230215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0226
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0740 PM CDT Fri Mar 22 2019

Areas affected...TX Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30...

Valid 230040Z - 230215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong/severe convection will shift east across the TX
Panhandle over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...An elongated southwest-northeast oriented MCS has
evolved over the TX Panhandle early this evening.  While a few
embedded supercells remain, the primary storm mode is more complex
and suggests large hail and locally strong winds are the main risks
with this activity. 00z sounding from AMA sampled a pre-storm
environment with modest instability and shear more than adequate for
maintaining organized updrafts. It appears this complex of storms
will propagate east of the watch over the eastern TX Panhandle in
the next few hours and there is some concern that hail could
accompany the stronger updrafts. As the LLJ veers into western OK
late the southwestern flank should lag across the southern Panhandle
region. Severe watch may need to be extended into the eastern part
of AMA CWA to account for this risk.

..Darrow.. 03/23/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   34580294 35380173 36090078 35610004 34890035 34340216
            34580294 

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