ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 222233 
SPC MCD 222233 
TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-230000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0225
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0533 PM CDT Fri Mar 22 2019

Areas affected...TX Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30...

Valid 222233Z - 230000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will spread across portions of
the TX Panhandle this evening. Large hail and damaging winds remain
the primary threats.

DISCUSSION...Leading edge of large-scale forcing for ascent is
spreading across northeast NM into the TX Panhandle. In response to
this forcing, convection has gradually increased in areal extent and
intensity from the northern TX Panhandle, southwest into Deaf Smith
county. This activity appears to be evolving into a small MCS that
should propagate east across the TX Panhandle as LLJ increases then
veers toward western OK. While isolated supercells have been the
predominate mode early, forcing should encourage storm mergers that
will lead to a squall line over the next few hours. Wind/hail are
the primary threats as this complex matures and shifts east.

..Darrow.. 03/22/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

LAT...LON   34510313 35550280 36510174 35880100 34330235 34510313 

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