MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0282
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0416 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2005
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CT...RI...MA...VT...NH AND ME
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 
   
   VALID 121016Z - 121515Z
   
   SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND
   THROUGH 15Z. RATES LOCALLY FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY
   INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND PART OF THE AFTERNOON.
   
   THIS MORNING...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A VORT MAX OVER THE MID
   ATLANTIC AREA LIFTING NEWD TOWARD SRN NEW ENGLAND. ASCENT DOWNSTREAM
   FROM THIS FEATURE IS BEING MANIFESTED BY COOLING CLOUD TOPS
   ACCOMPANYING AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION FROM SERN NY THROUGH
   CONNECTICUT AND WRN MA. FRONTOGENETIC FORCING AND LIFT SHOULD
   CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING IN VICINITY OF A GENERALLY N-S
   ORIENTED DEFORMATION AXIS FROM VT/NH SWD THROUGH MA AND CT AS THE
   VORT MAX CONTINUES NEWD. SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN OFFSHORE AND SELY
   LOW LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN AS FORCING FOR ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE
   VORT MAX SHIFTS NEWD. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN WARM
   ADVECTION SNOWS...MAINLY ACROSS PARTS OF ME. SNOWFALL RATES MAY ALSO
   BE CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED DUE TO PRESENCE OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES.
   
   ..DIAL.. 03/12/2005
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...
   
   41717080 41457278 43467308 44897176 45447014 45466850
   44746817 43307076