MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0153
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0107 AM CST THU FEB 10 2005
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN VT/NRN NH INTO NW MAINE
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 100707Z - 101130Z
MDT/OCNLY HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED TO EXPAND EWD ACROSS NRN VT/NRN NH
INTO NW MAINE OVERNIGHT...WITH RATES UP TO 1 IN/HR POSSIBLE.
AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH PROGRESSING EWD OVER LOWER MI/LAKE
HURON...WARM CONVEYOR AND ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL WAA/MOISTURE
TRANSPORT TO CONTRIBUTE TO EXPANDING PRECIPITATION COVERAGE/
INTENSITY ACROSS NRN NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. ACCORDINGLY IR IMAGERY
DEPICTS COOLING CLOUD TOPS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. AT 06Z...SFC
WET BULB ZERO LINE ROUGHLY BISECTS VT/NH...WITH WAA REGIME
MAINTAINING ABOVE 32F TEMPS ACROSS FAR SRN VT/SRN NH.
ACROSS NRN VT/NRN NH INTO NW ME WHERE SUFFICIENTLY COLD PROFILES
EXIST...INCREASING UVVS COUPLED WITH DEEPLY SATURATED COLUMN AND
FAVORABLE DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER SUGGEST MDT/OCNLY HEAVY SNOW IS
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. IN ACCORDANCE WITH OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS...
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS HEAVIEST SNOW WILL MATERIALIZE ACROSS
MUCH OF NRN VT BEFORE 09Z...SPREADING EWD ACROSS NRN NH INTO NW
MAINE PRIOR TO 12Z.
..GUYER.. 02/10/2005
...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS...FOUR TIMES A DAY...BETWEEN 00-01 UTC...
06-07 UTC...12-13 UTC...AND 18-19 UTC AS SIGNIFICANT SHORT
RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS UNFOLD. THIS SCHEDULE WILL BE
USED FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28.
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...
45307087 45037035 44267021 43787069 43667129 43637187
43537282 43757353 44287361 45007341 44997226 45267111
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