MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2259
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN WI THROUGH NRN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 260521Z - 260645Z
STORMS OVER NERN IA CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES
...A WW MAY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF SRN WI THROUGH SRN IL WITHIN THE
HOUR.
THIS EVENING A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM NRN IA THROUGH NRN IL AND SRN
MI. WARM ADVECTION AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH SWLY LOW LEVEL JET IS
SUPPORTING CLUSTER OF CONVECTION CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS ERN IA.
STORMS OVER NERN IA HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AS A LINE
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL MINUTES. ONCE THE STORMS ORGANIZE A COLD
POOL...THEY COULD BECOME FORWARD PROPAGATING. HOWEVER...A LIMITING
FACTOR FOR STRONG FORWARD PROPAGATION IS WEAKER INSTABILITY ACROSS
NERN IL AND SERN WI. PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND AND
POSSIBLY SOME HAIL.
..DIAL.. 08/26/2003
ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...
43159065 43178810 42178773 42099019
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