MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1378
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0644 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 132344Z - 140115Z
TSTMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
MESONET DATA AND TWIN LAKES RADAR IMAGERY SHOW SURFACE BOUNDARY
CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM WASHITA COUNTY EWD THROUGH CLEVELAND COUNTY
AND INTO MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE AND SEQUOYAH COUNTIES IN ERN OK.
ALTHOUGH INSOLATION HAS BEEN LIMITED THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON
BY HIGH CLOUDINESS...DEWPOINTS OF 65-70 AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH MLCAPES
OF 1000-2000 J/KG.
PURCELL OK PROFILER INDICATES WEAK WINDS THROUGH THE LOWEST 9
KM...SUGGESTING THAT DEVELOPING TSTMS SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY
DISORGANIZED. NONETHELESS...AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING AHEAD OF
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER WRN TX/TX PNHDL MOVES EWD...TSTMS SHOULD
INCREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
..MEAD.. 06/13/2003
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
35439836 35999827 36139710 36139541 35819473 35169457
34649513 34799799
|