MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0790
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/CNTRL TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266...
VALID 061714Z - 061915Z
CONVECTIVE LINE OVER SWRN-CNTRL TX WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE AN ISOLATED
HAIL OR WIND DAMAGE THREAT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
STORMS IN THE SRN PORTION OF WW 266 WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EWD AND
SWD ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM DEL RIO TO NW OF SAN
ANTONIO. STRONG INSTABILITY EXISTS ACROSS SW TX WITH MLCAPE OF 3000
J/KG. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WAS ALSO STRONG WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES
AROUND 50 KT. THE VERY UNSTABLE AIR COUPLED WITH THE STRONG DEEP
LAYER SHEAR SUGGEST THE SUPERCELL THREAT WILL CONTINUE. AS ACTIVITY
DEVELOPS SWD ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...NEW SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP
WITH A POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS. WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED ATTM BUT AREAS S OF WW 266 APPEAR MOST LIKELY FOR NEW
DEVELOPMENT AND THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
..BROYLES.. 05/06/2003
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...
30399974 31529854 31589785 31499721 31289666 30019746
29119862 29209959 29590033
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