MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0597
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0104 PM CDT SAT APR 26 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND CNTRL NC/NRN SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 261804Z - 262000Z
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. WW NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.
TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS WRN NC INTO NRN SC THIS AFTERNOON
BENEATH MID-LEVEL COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
ACROSS THE AREA. RESIDUAL DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S AND
RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO SBCAPES
OF 1000-1500 J/KG. DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE MID-LEVEL
TROUGH AXIS...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR REMAINS RATHER WEAK ACROSS AREA.
THEREFORE...THE MAJORITY OF ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND
CONVERGENCE INVOF SURFACE LOW...ISOLATED STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL.
DUE TO THE EXPECTED LIMITED COVERAGE...A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.
..MEAD.. 04/26/2003
ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...
35418254 36078212 36508132 36388026 35077991 34408076
34258173 34878241
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