MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0239
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CST THU MAR 13 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...MS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 39...
VALID 131729Z - 131930Z
THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL CONTINUES ACROSS THE
ERN HALF OF WW039.
LATEST REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS LINE OF TSTMS...INCLUDING
EMBEDDED LEWPS...FROM CBM SWWD TO S OF HEZ. THE STRONGEST
ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING FROM JAN SWD TO MCB WHERE AIRMASS HAS
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. JAN
VWP/OKOLONA MS PROFILER DATA INDICATE A UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND
PROFILES WITH STRONGER UPSTREAM WINDS --45-50 KT WLY WINDS IN THE
5-6 KM AGL LAYER-- OBSERVED EARLIER AT DEQUEEN AR. COMBINATION OF
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND INCREASING MID-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD
OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH AR...WILL SUPPORT A
CONTINUED WIND AND HAIL THREAT WITH ONGOING LINE OF TSTMS.
..MEAD.. 03/13/2003
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX...LCH...
31749184 32579140 33749089 34349061 34318997 34328911
34128846 33048890 31758961 31078991 31119114 31109197
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