Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Sat Jun 29 16:44:03 UTC 2024 (20240629 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20240629 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 291643

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024

   Valid 291700Z - 301200Z

   ...17z Update...
   Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The
   Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been
   expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds
   and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible
   across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However,
   the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly
   overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is
   possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and
   evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given
   relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion
   for more information.

   ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains
   states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A
   surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph
   sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by
   afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into
   western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained.
   Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western
   mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern
   Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected,
   but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given
   questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of
   thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been
   withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the
   afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy
   conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential
   brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over
   Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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