Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Mon Apr 22 06:56:03 UTC 2024 ( | )
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Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 220655 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low will track east-southeastward from SK toward the Upper Great Lakes through the period, while a related belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow overspreads a post-frontal air mass over the northern Plains. Here, a tight pressure gradient, coupled with boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft, will favor a WNW/ESE-oriented corridor of 25-35 mph sustained west-northwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) amid 20-30 percent RH (locally lower). Elevated highlights have been added for this corridor, with the southern edge bounded by overnight/early-morning precipitation, and northern edge where higher RH is expected. While fuels are somewhat marginal across the region (ERCs generally in the 60th-80th percentile), the strong/gusty winds and modest RH reductions warrant these highlights. Ahead of the primary cold front, a swath of strong south-southwesterly surface winds will extend from the southern Plains into the Midwest. While higher boundary-layer moisture (and related RH) is expected across this corridor, locally elevated conditions are still possible where fine fuels are receptive to fire-spread (e.g., parts of western KS). ..Weinman.. 04/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...