Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Mon Apr 22 06:56:03 UTC 2024 (20240422 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20240422 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 220655

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0155 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

   Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A midlevel low will track east-southeastward from SK toward the
   Upper Great Lakes through the period, while a related belt of strong
   deep-layer west-northwesterly flow overspreads a post-frontal air
   mass over the northern Plains. Here, a tight pressure gradient,
   coupled with boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft,
   will favor a WNW/ESE-oriented corridor of 25-35 mph sustained
   west-northwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) amid 20-30
   percent RH (locally lower). Elevated highlights have been added for
   this corridor, with the southern edge bounded by
   overnight/early-morning precipitation, and northern edge where
   higher RH is expected. While fuels are somewhat marginal across the
   region (ERCs generally in the 60th-80th percentile), the
   strong/gusty winds and modest RH reductions warrant these
   highlights. 

   Ahead of the primary cold front, a swath of strong
   south-southwesterly surface winds will extend from the southern
   Plains into the Midwest. While higher boundary-layer moisture (and
   related RH) is expected across this corridor, locally elevated
   conditions are still possible where fine fuels are receptive to
   fire-spread (e.g., parts of western KS).

   ..Weinman.. 04/22/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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