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ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 290752 DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0252 AM CDT THU APR 29 2010 VALID 291200Z - 301200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN PLAINS OF NM / PARTS OF SW TX PECOS RIVER VALLEY... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN HALF OF NM / PARTS OF FAR W TX AND TX-OK PANHANDLES / SERN CO / SWRN KS... ...SYNOPSIS... 00Z/29 UPPER AIR AND EARLY MORNING SATELLITE SHOW A MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS AND THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE LITTLE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS A LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH ENCAPSULATES THE WRN HALF OF THE LOWER 48. TWO PRIMARY DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE NEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS AND DESERT SW...RESPECTIVELY...BY THIS EVENING. SEVERAL LOW LEVEL CYCLONES ELONGATED ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO A CNTRL HIGH PLAINS LEE LOW WILL ACT TO MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE CNTRL CONUS EXTENDING TO THE DESERT SW. A DRYLINE WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS DEMARCATING A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS FROM AN EXPANDING AND MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER PERMEATING NWD ACROSS THE LOW PLAINS TOWARDS THE UPPER MIDWEST. ...SERN HALF OF NM / PARTS OF FAR W TX AND TX-OK PANHANDLES / SERN CO / SWRN KS... STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE ALOFT /H7 35-60 KTS/ AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY AND APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE NW. STRONG MIXING AND ABUNDANT SURFACE HEATING YIELDING VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO A LONG DURATION OF VERY STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS BEGINNING THIS MORNING AND LASTING INTO THIS EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-40 MPH WILL BE COMMON OVER THE CRITICAL AREA WITH GUSTS AT TIMES AROUND 60 MPH ACROSS THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA. UPPER SINGLE DIGITS WILL BE LIKELY IN SERN NM AND SWRN TX WHERE TEMPS REACH NEAR 90 DEG F...WITH 10-15 PERCENT COMMON ELSEWHERE. ...NY / PA / NJ / SWRN NEW ENGLAND... A DRY CONTINENTAL NWLY FLOW REGIME WILL RESULT IN RH LIKELY DROPPING INTO THE 25-35 PERCENT RANGE BY AFTERNOON. NWLY WINDS AROUND 20-25 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED...WHICH WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE THREAT. ALTHOUGH THE ZONE FROM ERN PA TO LONG ISLAND HAS SEEN SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WITHIN THE LAST TWO WEEKS...PORTIONS OF SERN NY INTO WRN VT/MA/CT HAS BEEN RELATIVELY DRY...WITH THE GREATEST RELATIVE FIRE THREAT THERE. ..SMITH.. 04/29/2010 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...