Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 170739
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0139 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2009
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR ERN NM...TX/OK
PANHANDLES...EXTREME SERN CO AND SW KS...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM...MUCH OF W TX...WRN
OK...SERN CO...SWRN KS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL STATES WILL FLATTEN AND SHIFT EWD
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION AND PHASES WITH A TROUGH AXIS NOW TRAVERSING SSEWD
INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. IN RESPONSE TO THIS...A SURFACE LOW WILL
RAPIDLY DEEPEN THIS MORNING NEAR THE CO/KS/NEB BORDERS AND THEN
SHIFT EWD INTO KS BY LATE AFTERNOON. AT THAT TIME...A DRYLINE WILL
EXTEND ROUGHLY THROUGH CNTRL KS SSWWD THROUGH WRN OK AND INTO THE
BIG BEND OF TX. VERY DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST BEHIND AND
NEAR THIS AS RHS PLUMMET AND JUXTAPOSE WITH STRONG WINDS.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FAR ERN NM...TX/OK
PANHANDLES...EXTREME SERN CO AND SW KS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW RH
A SURFACE LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN OVER CNTRL KS BY LATE AFTERNOON AS
AN UPPER TROUGH AND STRONG JET MAX MOVE OVER THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS.
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS A WIDESPREAD
AREA THAT HAS BEEN UNDER DROUGHT. DESPITE SOME RECENT
RAINFALL...MAINLY DRY FUELS EXIST AT THIS POINT. SWLY WINDS NEAR 35
TO 45 MPH WILL AFFECT AREAS NEAR AND BEHIND THE DRYLINE. AS
TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 60S AND 70S...DEEP MIXING WILL ALLOW
STRONGER GUSTS NEAR 50 TO 60 MPH TO REACH THE SURFACE. FARTHER W
NEAR THE ERN SLOPES IN NM AND CO...SUSTAINED WLY WINDS NEAR 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE LIKELY. STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL
ALLOW WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO PREVAIL...WITH UPPER 50S
AND LOWER 60S...WHILE RHS WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S IN
THESE REGIONS AS WELL. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS
RHS RECOVER. HOWEVER...A WIND SHIFT WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES SEWD THROUGH SERN KS...ERN OK...AND
CNTRL TX. THIS WILL POSE A THREAT TO ANY EXISTING FIRES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN NM...MUCH OF W TX...WRN
OK...SERN CO...SWRN KS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH
SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
EXIST AS SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 TO 40 MPH WITH STRONGER GUSTS
PREVAIL. THESE AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE MARGINAL RHS DUE TO COOLER
TEMPERATURES IN ERN CO/NM...AND HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT IN PORTIONS
OF WRN OK/NWRN TX. HOWEVER...STRONG WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FUEL MOISTURE
TO DECREASE...AND GIVEN STRONG WINDS AND DROUGHT...A HEIGHTENED FIRE
THREAT WILL CERTAINLY EXIST.
...FLORIDA...
A DRY AIRMASS WILL LINGER ACROSS FL AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS
EWD AND BECOMES CENTERED NEAR THE CAROLINAS. WINDS ACROSS THE
PENINSULA WILL PRIMARILY BE ELY...ALLOWING RHS ALONG THE EAST COAST
TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. FARTHER INLAND...MAINLY NEAR
THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AND THE FL PANHANDLE...SEVERAL HOURS OF NEAR 30
PERCENT RH WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS IN GENERAL WILL BE UNDER 10 MPH.
..HURLBUT.. 02/17/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 170818
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0218 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2009
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SWRN OK...CNTRL AND NWRN TX...ERN
NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED JET MAX WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND THEN THE TN/OH VALLEYS BY EARLY
MORNING WED. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE WRN GREAT
LAKES AND MOVE SLOWLY EWD THROUGH THE DAY. BY AFTERNOON...A COLD
FRONT WILL EXTEND SWD THROUGH THE OH/TN VALLEYS...THEN SWWD INTO THE
WRN GULF. BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...STRONG AND GUSTY
NWLY TO WLY WINDS AND LOW RHS WILL DOMINATE PORTIONS OF SWRN
OK...CNTRL AND NWRN TX...ERN NM.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SWRN OK...CNTRL AND NWRN TX...ERN
NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TX/AR/NRN LA
EARLY IN THE DAY...PUSHING INTO THE WRN GULF BY THE AFTERNOON.
BEHIND THIS...NWLY TO WLY WINDS NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH GUSTING TO 30 CAN
BE EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH A SOMEWHAT COOLER AIRMASS WILL
FOLLOW...TEMPERATURES ARE STILL ANTICIPATED TO BE IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S...WITH RHS IN THE LOWER 20S. THIS WILL AFFECT AREAS WHERE
SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT HAS BEEN PREVALENT.
FURTHERMORE...GIVEN EXTREME CONDITIONS ON THE PREVIOUS DAY FOR
PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL OUTLINE...DRY FUELS...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
ONGOING FIRES...A HEIGHTENED THREAT WILL EXIST.
..HURLBUT.. 02/17/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...