Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 130657
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 AM CDT TUE MAY 13 2008
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NM AND FAR W
TX......
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN AZ...SRN NM AND SWRN TX......
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY......
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FL......
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES AND
SRN PLAINS...PRODUCING HIGH WINDS AND LOW RH FOR SRN NM AND SW TX.
NLY FLOW ON THE W SIDE OF THIS UPPER TROUGH WILL ALLOW STRONG NLY
WINDS TO DEVELOP FOLLOWING A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS SRN
NV...SERN CA AND SWRN AZ.
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE ACROSS THE SERN U.S. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE AXIS
MOVES OVERHEAD. THIS WILL MAINTAIN VERY DRY WEATHER FOR FL WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS...ALTHOUGH WINDS COULD APPROACH 15 MPH MAINLY
NEAR THE COAST.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN NM AND FAR W TX......
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION...WITH A VERY WARM
AND DRY AIR MASS AS WELL OVER SRN NM AND SWRN TX. SUSTAINED SWLY
WINDS OF 25-35 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ALONG WITH MIN RH
OF 5-10 PERCENT. A HIGH HAINES INDEX ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO
REMAIN...FURTHER ENHANCING THE SEVERITY OF THE FIRE THREAT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN AZ...SOUTH CENTRAL NM AND SWRN
TX......
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
SURROUNDING THE EXTREME AREA...MIN RH NEAR 15 PERCENT IS LIKELY OVER
SERN AZ ALONG WITH WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FARTHER E
INTO SWRN TX...MIN RH OF 10-15 PERCENT AND WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ARE LIKELY...AND THE HAINES INDEX SHOULD ONLY BE MDT.
DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO FORM NEAR THE COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN
AZ/NM...AS WELL AS NEAR THE DRYLINE IN WRN TX.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY......
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG NLY WINDS AND LOW RH
NLY WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY ON TUE WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF
25-35 MPH FOLLOWING A DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...WHILE A JET MAXIMUM
AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL ALLOW STRONGER WINDS TO
MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE IN THE AFTERNOON. A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE WITH SINGLE DIGIT RH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FLORIDA......
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH AND ONGOING FIRES
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD PROVIDING VERY DRY BUT CALM
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID 80S
AREAWIDE...WITH MIN RH OF 20-30 PERCENT. THE LONG DURATION OF LOW RH
WILL RESULT IN AN ELEVATED FIRE THREAT DURING THE
AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH LACK OF WIND WILL HELP REDUCE THE TOTAL THREAT.
CLOSER TO THE EAST COAST...A RETURN TO AN ONSHORE FLOW AND AFTERNOON
SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT SHOULD LIMIT DURATION OF CRITICALLY LOW
CHS...ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY REACH 10 TO 15 MPH.
..HURLBUT/JEWELL.. 05/13/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 130702
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0202 AM CDT TUE MAY 13 2008
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE EAST...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
REGION WITH A SURFACE LOW LOCATED ROUGHLY OVER QUEBEC AND A COLD
FRONT EXTENDING THROUGH MUCH OF THE APPALACHIANS...SOUTHWESTWARD
INTO ERN TX. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES
AHEAD OF A SECOND UPPER LOW...CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE SWRN
STATES...THAT IS FORECAST TO EJECT EWD INTO TX...THEN LIFT NEWD
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. IN THE WEST...HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WEST COAST.
...SWRN TX...
AS THE UPPER LOW SLOWLY MOVES INTO TX AND EWD...STRONG WLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE...MAINLY ACROSS SWRN TX WHERE THE JET AXIS WILL REMAIN THE
STRONGEST. SEVERAL MODEL FORECASTS SHOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL BE
WARM...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROPPING
INTO THE TEENS. SUSTAINED SURFACE SPEEDS AROUND 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ARE LIKELY. MAIN LIMITATION TO A CRITICAL AREA DESIGNATION
WILL BE IMPACT OF TODAYS CONVECTION...AND WHERE MOISTENING OF FUELS
TAKES PLACE. THESE FACTORS WILL BE REEXAMINED TOMORROW FOR A
POSSIBLE UPGRADE TO CRITICAL.
..HURLBUT.. 05/13/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...