Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 300858
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0358 AM CDT WED APR 30 2008
   
   VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A LARGE PORTION OF
   NM...NERN AZ AND FAR WEST TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST/FOUR
   CORNERS REGION AND CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF FLA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SEWD INTO THE ROCKIES TODAY. AHEAD OF
   THIS SYSTEM...STRONG WLY SFC WINDS WILL BE PREVALENT ACROSS MUCH OF
   THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. COMBINED WITH LOW RH
   READINGS...EXTREMELY CRITICAL/CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS WILL
   EXIST OVER THIS REGION. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...A DEEPENING
   AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL SUPPORT STRONG SLY
   WINDS OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS. DRY LOW LEVELS COMBINED WITH
   MODEST NELY WINDS OVER FLA WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE STATE.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF ERN AZ...MUCH
   OF NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 30-35 MPH WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 60 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 4-8 PERCENT
   
   AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SEWD TOWARDS THE ROCKIES...A
   BROAD AREA OF STRONG SFC WIND IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY FROM AZ
   EWD INTO WEST TX. THE STRONGEST MID LEVEL HEIGHT GRADIENT/WINDS WILL
   MIX TOWARDS THE SFC OVER ERN AZ...MUCH OF NM AND FAR WRN TX
   SUPPORTING SWLY SFC WINDS FROM 30-35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.
   ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH VERY DRY AIRMASS /DEWPTS
   NEAR ZERO DEG F/ WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 4-8 PERCENT.
   GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM...SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
   REMAIN MODERATE OVERNIGHT. THUS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
   EXPECTED TO LAST WELL INTO THE EVENING WITH WIDESPREAD POOR RH
   RECOVERY OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL
   AREA FROM THE FAR SERN GREAT BASIN INTO THE SRN/CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED W-SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-10 PERCENT
   
   SLIGHTLY WEAKER WINDS WILL BE FOUND OUTSIDE OF THE EXTREMELY
   CRITICAL AREA...GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF LOWER MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS
   OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...SRN GREAT BASIN AND WRN/CENTRAL
   AZ/FOUR CORNERS REGION. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF WELL ABOVE
   NORMAL TEMPERATURES/VERY LOW RH READINGS /5-10 PERCENT/ COMBINED
   WITH MODERATE WINDS WILL SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   OVER THIS ENTIRE REGION. THE NRN EXTENT OF THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   AREA WILL BE MODULATED BY A COLD FRONT/LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVING SWD
   THROUGH THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND THE LOCATION OF THE COLD
   FRONT/HIGHER TERRAIN OVER CENTRAL ROCKIES/SERN GREAT BASIN. THE ERN
   EDGE OF THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK IS DRAWN FROM FAR WRN
   OK/SWRN KS SWD INTO WRN TX WHERE A DRYLINE WILL EXIST DURING THE
   MID/LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NRN FLA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED NELY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH...MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 25-30 PERCENT
   
   A MODERATE N-S PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN OVER FLA AS HIGH
   PRESSURE BUILDS SEWD THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST REGION TODAY. THIS WILL
   SUPPORT NELY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH. DRY AMBIENT AIR WILL COMBINE WITH
   GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES TO SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-30
   PERCENT LEADING TO ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   NORTH OF THE CRITICAL AREA IN FLA...A CLOSER PROXIMITY TO HIGH
   PRESSURE CENTER WILL SUPPORT WEAKER SFC WINDS /AOB 10 MPH/.
   HOWEVER...VERY LOW RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT WILL SUPPORT VERY
   HIGH FIRE DANGER.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/30/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 300906
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0406 AM CDT WED APR 30 2008
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF SRN
   NM...FAR WEST TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF ERN AZ EWD INTO SW
   OK/NW TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS
   TOMORROW. STRONG SFC WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RH READINGS WILL
   SUPPORT ANOTHER DAY OF EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   OVER PORTIONS OF THE SRN ROCKIES/SRN HIGH PLAINS REGION OF NM/FAR
   WRN TX. OUTSIDE OF THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS...A LARGER AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
   EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST/SRN HIGH PLAINS REGION TO THE
   SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT AND WEST OF A DRYLINE. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
   NATION...UPPER RIDGING OVER THE SERN STATES WILL LEAD TO WARMING
   TEMPERATURES. LOW RH READINGS AND MODEST SFC WINDS WILL LEAD TO NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES
   AND SRN APPALACHIAN REGION.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SRN NM...FAR
   WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM 30-35 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 50 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-10 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND SFC COLD FRONT...THE STRONGEST
   MID LEVEL HEIGHT GRADIENT/WIND FIELDS WILL EXIST OVER THE REGION
   TOMORROW. STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED SFC
   WINDS FROM 30-35 MPH. HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO AND
   GUADALUPE MTNS WILL SEE WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. ALTHOUGH
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE BELOW DAY ONE LEVELS...VERY DRY LOW
   LEVELS /DEWPTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS/ WILL STILL SUPPORT VERY LOW RH
   READINGS FROM 5-10 PERCENT. STRONG WINDS WILL BE MAINTAINED WELL
   INTO THE EVENING HOURS...PRODUCING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   UNTIL AT LEAST MIDNIGHT OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL
   OUTLOOK AREA ERN AZ...MUCH OF CENTRAL/SRN NM...WRN TX AND SWRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED W-SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-15 PERCENT
   
   OUTSIDE OF THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE
   SOUTHWEST AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
   SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT /WHICH SHOULD EXTEND FROM NERN AZ INTO THE NRN
   TX PANHANDLE BY EARLY AFTERNOON/ AND WEST OF A DRYLINE /WHICH WILL
   EXTEND FROM WRN OK SWD INTO WCENTRAL TX DURING THE MID AFTERNOON/.
   SOUTH OF THIS FRONT AND WEST OF THE DRYLINE...SUSTAINED WINDS FROM
   20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH LOW RH READINGS
   FROM 5-10 PERCENT /SUPPORTED BY VERY LOW DEWPTS IN THE SINGLE
   DIGITS/BELOW ZERO IN AZ/NM TO THE TEENS IN SW OK/NWRN TX/. AS THE
   STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES SWD THROUGH NRN NM/TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK
   DURING THE EVENING HOURS...WINDS WILL SHIFT QUICKLY TO THE NORTH
   WITH IMPROVING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...NRN/CENTRAL FLA...GA NWD INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...
   MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL SUPPORT TEMPERATURES RISING TO ABOVE NORMAL
   LEVELS. AS SFC PRESSURE FALLS OCCUR OVER THE OHIO VALLEY/LOWER MS
   VALLEY...SELY SFC WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE AREA
   TOMORROW AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INTENSIFIES. SELY WINDS WILL RANGE
   FROM AROUND 10 MPH OVER FLA TO BETWEEN 10-20 MPH OVER PORTIONS OF
   THE SRN/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. LOW DEWPTS COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL
   TEMPERATURES WILL SUPPORT LOW RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT.
   EXPECTED DAY ONE FREEZING/FROST CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY AID IN CURING
   OF SOME FINER FUELS IN THIS REGION. THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A
   POTENTIAL CRITICAL OUTLOOK ISSUANCE IN TOMORROW/S DAY 1 OUTLOOK
   BASED ON NEW OBSERVED/FCST INFORMATION.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/30/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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