Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 090713
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 AM CDT WED APR 09 2008
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SERN AZ...SRN
NM...FAR SWRN TX......
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN AZ...CNTRL AND SRN NM...SWRN
TX......
...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE
GREAT LAKES REGION AND INTO NEW ENGLAND. MEANWHILE IN THE WEST...A
STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES BUILDING IN BEHIND. SRN PORTIONS OF CA/AZ/NM AND
SWRN TX WILL REMAIN DRY...WHILE VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS SERN AZ/SRN NM/AND SWRN TX. A
SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER SWRN TX AND MOVE NEWD INTO THU
MORNING...PRODUCING A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SRN PLAINS.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FAR SERN AZ...SRN NM...FAR
SWRN TX......
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EWD TODAY. STRONG WINDS AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL
OVERSPREAD THE REGION...WHILE ADIABATIC DRYING/WARMING WILL ALLOW
THESE STRONGER WINDS TO REACH THE SURFACE. BY EARLY
AFTERNOON...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND SHIFT TO SOUTHWESTERLY
THEN WESTERLY AS LEE CYCLOGENESIS TAKES PLACE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 25 TO 35
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE LOWER VALLEYS WILL BE
LIKELY...WHILE HIGHER ELEVATIONS COULD EXPERIENCE GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH.
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW TO MID 80S AND DRY CONDITIONS
WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
TEENS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN AZ...CNTRL AND SRN NM...SWRN
TX......
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
SURROUNDING THE EXTREME AREA...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH WILL ALSO
RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FROM SERN AZ ACROSS ALL OF SRN NM
AND SW TX. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE LIKELY ALONG WITH
MIN RH NEAR 15 TO 20 PERCENT.
SRN NV...SERN CA...WRN AZ...
MUCH UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDS THE EXTENT OF POSSIBLE CRITICAL
CONDITIONS...WHICH WILL LIMIT DESIGNATION OF AN AREA...HOWEVER A
SMALL WINDOW OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
TODAY. A SURFACE LOW...ANALYZED OVER SRN NV AT 0500Z THIS
MORNING...IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD AHEAD OF THIS AND INTENSIFY AS A
LEE TROUGH IN COMBINATION WITH A SECOND SURFACE LOW...ANALYZED OVER
CENTRAL WY. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BUILD IN BEHIND AS WINDS SHIFT
TO WLY THEN NWLY AND A COLD FRONT SAGS SWD. ALTHOUGH SOME
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST...IN GENERAL IT SHOULD BE CONFINED TO
HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE DRY PROFILES IN LOWER LEVELS WILL LIMIT
AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION THAT CAN REACH THE SURFACE. ATTM...FORECASTS
INDICATE THAT THE BEST JUXTAPOSITION OF HIGHER TEMPERATURES...LOW
RH...AND STRONG NNWLY WINDS APPEARS ACROSS EXTREME SRN NV AND NWRN
AZ THROUGH THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. FARTHER S...WINDS ACROSS THE
SRN CA/AZ BORDER WILL BE SOMEWHAT STRONG...15 TO 20 MPH...ALTHOUGH
IN MORE OF A WLY DIRECTION AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD
FRONT...WHICH WILL LIMIT FAVORABLE CHANNELING EFFECTS. HIGHER
ELEVATIONS MAY SEE STRONGER WINDS/GUSTS AS THE UPPER JET DIGGING
INTO THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA...AND
MIXING ALLOWS THESE STRONGER WINDS TO REACH THE SURFACE.
..HURLBUT/JEWELL.. 04/09/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 090808
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 AM CDT WED APR 09 2008
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NM...FAR SWRN
TX......
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN AZ...SRN NM...SWRN TX......
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL
STATES...WHILE A SURFACE LOW WILL BRING WIDESPREAD INCLEMENT WEATHER
TO MUCH OF THE PLAINS EWD INTO THE MISSISSIPPI/OHIO VALLEYS.
ALTHOUGH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THIS...MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST
WILL REMAIN WARM AND DRY...WITH STRONG WINDS STILL AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF SERN AZ/SRN NM/SWRN TX.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN NM...FAR SWRN TX......
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
A VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED CLOSED SURFACE LOW WILL
AFFECT MUCH OF THE CENTRAL STATES ON THURSDAY. AS THE SURFACE LOW
DEEPENS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...STRONG WLY WINDS WILL INCREASE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA. ADIABATIC WARMING/DRYING WILL
ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND THE
TEENS. STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW STRONGER JET WINDS AROUND THE
BASE OF THE TROUGH TO MIX TO THE SURFACE...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF
30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS EXPECTED.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN AZ...SRN NM...SWRN TX......
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES INTO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S CAN BE EXPECTED.
EASTERN AND NORTHERN EXTENT OF CRITICAL AREA ACROSS TX MAY NEED TO
BE ADJUSTED DEPENDING ON TODAYS CONVECTION ALONG THE DRY LINE...AND
WHERE EXACTLY ASSOCIATED MOISTENING OF FUELS TAKES PLACE.
..HURLBUT.. 04/09/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...