Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 030819
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0319 AM CDT THU APR 03 2008
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SERN
   NM...FAR WRN TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN/ERN NM...PORTIONS OF WRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   SRN HIGH PLAINS/ROCKIES AS A SERIES OF PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL SHORT
   WAVE TROUGHS EVOLVE FROM THE WRN INTO THE CNTRL CONUS TODAY. THE
   BELT OF MORE INTENSE MID-LEVEL W/SWLYS WILL SHIFT E/SEWD...EXTENDING
   FROM NRN MEXICO ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST BY LATE
   AFTERNOON. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE SHOULD BECOME CENTERED
   ALONG THE RED RIVER IN NWRN TX WITH A SHARP DRY LINE DRAPED S/SWWD
   ACROSS WRN TX.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SERN NM...FAR
   WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / MODERATE DROUGHT
   
   STRONG MID-LEVEL FLOW /10000 FT AGL WINDS AROUND 60 MPH AS SAMPLED
   BY WHITE SANDS NM PROFILER/ SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR LOCALLY
   EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ADJACENT TO THE GUADALUPE MTNS THIS
   AFTERNOON. W/SWLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND NEARLY FULL INSOLATION WILL
   RESULT IN A VERY DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
   WELL INTO THE 70S ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN TO AROUND 90 IN THE PECOS
   RIVER VALLEY. WITH ANTECEDENT DEW POINTS ALREADY IN THE SINGLE
   DIGITS AT ELP...MIN RH VALUES OF 3 TO 7 PERCENT ARE ANTICIPATED.
   DESPITE THE LACK OF STRONGER LEE CYCLOGENESIS...SUSTAINED SURFACE
   SPEEDS SHOULD STILL APPROACH 25 TO 35 MPH AT PEAK HEATING GIVEN THE
   GREAT DEPTH OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER. CRITICALLY LOW RH/WINDS SHOULD
   CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING HOURS...PRIOR TO AN OVERNIGHT
   COLD FRONT PASSAGE.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN/ERN NM...PORTIONS OF WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
   
   THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE EXTREMELY
   CRITICAL AREA...WITH WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED W OF A
   DRY LINE IN WRN TX AND S OF A COLD FRONT IN THE TX PANHANDLE.
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL-ABOVE NORMAL /FROM THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER
   90S/ ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS...BENEATH DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND ABUNDANT
   SUNSHINE. RH VALUES WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 5 TO 10 PERCENT...WITH
   SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH. ACROSS THE HIGHER
   TERRAIN OF SRN NM/FAR W TX...RH VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 8 TO 15
   PERCENT...WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 04/03/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 030923
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0423 AM CDT THU APR 03 2008
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH SHOULD TRACK FROM THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS TO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY BY EARLY SAT. A SURFACE COLD
   FRONT WILL PUSH SEWD INTO THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO...WHILE HIGH
   PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / MODERATE WINDS / SEVERE TO EXTREME
   DROUGHT
   
   IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE FRI MORNING...RAPID AND
   SUBSTANTIAL DRYING IS ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE CHARACTER OF A VERY DRY
   AIR MASS SITUATED ACROSS ERN NM/FAR W TX ATTM. NWLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
   WILL ENHANCE DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS MAINTAINING VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
   /IN THE MIDDLE 80S TO MIDDLE 90S/. A PERIOD OF RATHER LOW RH /AROUND
   6 TO 12 PERCENT/ SHOULD DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON...PRIOR TO AN
   INCREASE IN MEAN MIXING RATIOS AS WINDS VEER TO THE N LATE IN THE
   DAY. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL WINDS SHOULD NOT BE OVERTLY
   STRONG...SUSTAINED SURFACE SPEEDS WILL LIKELY REACH 20 MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 04/03/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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