Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060939
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0439 AM CDT WED JUN 06 2007
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ/WRN NM...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE CA/AZ/WRN NM/SW CO/SE UT...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOWED LARGE UPPER LOW MOVING INTO
   THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE DEEPENING AS IT
   PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN TODAY. UNUSUALLY STRONG LARGE
   SCALE HEIGHT FALLS /AROUND 150-180 M PER 12 HR/ WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
   SYSTEM...AND RESULT IN VERY STRONG SFC CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE
   PLAINS. SFC COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM THE WRN
   DAKOTAS/ERN CO THROUGH CNTRL PORTIONS OF AZ BY THIS EVENING WITH A
   DRYLINE MIXING EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   SOUTHWEST TODAY DUE TO EXCESSIVE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN AZ/WRN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED W/SW WINDS FROM 30-35 MPH WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 50 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-10 PERCENT
   
   SFC COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF LAS VEGAS NV TO JUST SOUTH
   OF SALT LAKE CITY UT EARLY THIS MORNING. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP SOUTH AND EAST OF THIS BOUNDARY BY AFTN.
   SUSTAINED SFC WINDS OF 30-35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE FORECAST
   ALONG WITH CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 10-15 PERCENT. THE
   WORST CONDITIONS IN NEW MEXICO WILL BE WEST OF THE DIVIDE. THE WORST
   CONDITIONS IN AZ WILL BE ACROSS ECNTRL PORTIONS OF THE STATE...WHERE
   HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. RECENT FIRE
   DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE HIGH OR VERY HIGH ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
   AREA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SE CA/AZ/WRN NM/SW CO/SE UT...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED W/SW WINDS 20-35 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MIN RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/MAX TEMPS IN THE 80S/90S
   
   HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE 60S IN NRN AZ TO 90S IN SRN AZ/SERN
   CA IN THE DESERTS. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG ACROSS SRN
   AZ...BUT THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR CRITICALLY STRONG WINDS/LOW
   HUMIDITY ACROSS MOST OF AZ AND PORTIONS OF SW CO/SE UT THAT ARE
   AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE IN THE
   EXTREME RANGE FOR WRN AZ.
   
   ...PLAINS...
   VERY STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AHEAD OF POWERFUL LOW
   PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT BASIN. THE MOST DANGEROUS
   CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP WEST OF THE DRYLINE...SPECIFICALLY ACROSS
   THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN CO AND NM/WRN PORTIONS OF KS AND NEB AND TX
   PANHANDLE. TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS WILL BE ON THE ORDER OF 50-60
   DEGREES...WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES. THERE IS A LOW POTENTIAL
   FOR SOME ISOLD TSTMS...SOME WHICH MAY CONTAIN DRY LIGHTNING WHICH
   COULD SERVE AS AN IGNITION SOURCE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/06/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 060939
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0439 AM CDT WED JUN 06 2007
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FROM THE WRN DAKOTAS INTO
   NWRN ONTARIO BY THU AFTN. MID LEVEL JET STREAK WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
   UPPER STORM SYSTEM...WITH WINDS RANGING FROM 80 KT OVER NRN NM TO
   100+ KT ACROSS THE CNTRL/NRN PLAINS. VERY DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
   AT THE SFC WILL MAINTAIN STRONG GRADIENT WINDS ACROSS THE PLAINS.
   ALTHOUGH WARM/WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS
   OF ERN NM/FAR W TX...IT APPEARS LARGE SCALE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE MET ON THU.
   
   ...FAR W TX/SE NM...
   MAX TEMPS IN THE 80S/90S ARE LIKELY ACROSS THIS AREA...WITH HUMIDITY
   VALUES AGAIN DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT. SFC WINDS WILL BE
   STRONG...WITH GUSTS OVER 25-30 MPH. HOWEVER...THE STRONGER WINDS
   WILL BE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS WHERE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALSO BE
   SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. RECENT RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF NM AND
   GREENUP CONDITIONS WILL LOWER THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/06/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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