Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 300813 DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0313 AM CDT WED AUG 30 2006 VALID 301200Z - 311200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL/ERN MT...ERN ID AND WRN/CENTRAL WY... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SRN GREAT BASIN NEWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES/NRN HIGH PLAINS... ...SYNOPSIS... A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD OVER THE NRN ROCKIES/NRN GREAT BASIN THROUGH THE PERIOD. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD AND EXTEND FROM A SFC LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SERN MT SWWD INTO NRN NV BY EARLY EVENING. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND WEST OF A LEE TROUGH...STRONG SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY AND MUCH OF WRN/CENTRAL WY INTO SCENTRAL MT. BEHIND THE FRONT STRONG WNWLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF WRN/CENTRAL MT AND PORTIONS OF SRN ID. LOW RH READINGS WILL COMBINE WITH THESE WINDS TO PRODUCE EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MUCH OF THE NRN ROCKIES REGION. A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE GREAT BASIN NEWD INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS WHERE SLIGHTLY WEAKER WIND SPEEDS WILL EXIST. ELSEWHERE...A BROAD AREA OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP EWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/MS VALLEY IN THE WAKE OF A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE A RESULT ACROSS MOST OF THIS REGION. ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MOST OF CENTRAL/ERN MT...CENTRAL/WRN WY...PORTIONS OF SRN/ERN ID... PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY-NWLY WINDS FROM 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT...WIND SHIFT WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES TODAY. AT THE SFC A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM A SFC LOW OVER SERN MT SWWD INTO NWRN NV BY THE AFTERNOON HRS. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SWLY TO NWLY DIRECTION AND INCREASE SUPPORTED BY A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. MINIMAL LOW LEVEL COOLING INITIALLY WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HRS/50-100 MILES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL/ERN MT AND PORTIONS OF SRN/ERN ID DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS FROM 20-30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH /STRONGEST OVER THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY AND BEHIND THE FRONT OVER CENTRAL MT/ ALONG WITH MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT SUPPORTS A EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION TO THE WIND/RH RELATED THREAT...ISOLATED DRY TSTMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF WY AND SRN MT JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT/LEE TROUGH. ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA...FROM THE GREAT BASIN NEWD INTO CENTRAL ROCKIES/NRN HIGH PLAINS... PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 35 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-15 PERCENT SOUTH OF THE STRONGEST MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS...LOW RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE COMMON ALONG WITH MODERATE SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH. THE ERN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL AREA WILL EXTEND ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE LEE TROUGH WHERE A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST ALONG WITH SLOWLY INCREASING MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS/STEEP LAPSE RATES. ISOLATED MAINLY DRY TSTMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR ERN WY/MT AND FAR WRN SD/ND DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HRS. ...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SCENTRAL TX... IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...MUCH LOWER DEWPTS /50S/ WILL FILTER SWD INTO THE REGION TODAY. HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL NORMS /LOWER-MID 90S/ PRODUCING MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. EARLY MORNING PROFILER DATA INDICATED A NLY LOW LEVEL JET OF 20-30 KTS IN THE LOWER FEW THOUSAND FEET OVER CENTRAL/ERN TX. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED OVER OK YESTERDAY MORNING...AND DESPITE GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THIS WIND MAX THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SRN TX. COMBINED WITH THE LOW RH READINGS AND LONG TERM SIGNIFICANT DROUGHT...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED. LACK OF STRONGER SUSTAINED WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. ..CROSBIE.. 08/30/2006 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 300817 DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0317 AM CDT WED AUG 30 2006 VALID 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NRN ROCKIES WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT...MODERATE SWLY WINDS/LOW RH READING WILL DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF WY AND COLORADO. WINDS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE AS STRONG AS TODAY...SO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. BEHIND THE FRONT...NWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM 20-25 MPH OVER ND/MT AND NRN WY...BUT COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP MIN RH READINGS ABOVE 25 PERCENT. UPPER RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO REASSERT ITSELF OVER THE WEST COAST LEADING TO INCREASING TEMPERATURES/ LOWERING RH READINGS IN THIS REGION. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION SFC HIGH PRESSURE AND THE EFFECTS FROM A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS ...SRN WY/NWRN CO... SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. VERY DRY AIR WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT. LACK OF STRONGER SUSTAINED WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. ..CROSBIE.. 08/30/2006 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...