Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 300813
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0313 AM CDT WED AUG 30 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL/ERN
   MT...ERN ID AND WRN/CENTRAL WY...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SRN GREAT BASIN NEWD INTO THE
   NRN ROCKIES/NRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD OVER THE NRN ROCKIES/NRN
   GREAT BASIN THROUGH THE PERIOD. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM A COLD
   FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD AND EXTEND FROM A SFC LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
   OVER SERN MT SWWD INTO NRN NV BY EARLY EVENING. AHEAD OF THE
   FRONT...AND WEST OF A LEE TROUGH...STRONG SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
   OVER THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY AND MUCH OF WRN/CENTRAL WY INTO SCENTRAL
   MT. BEHIND THE FRONT STRONG WNWLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF
   WRN/CENTRAL MT AND PORTIONS OF SRN ID. LOW RH READINGS WILL COMBINE
   WITH THESE WINDS TO PRODUCE EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS MUCH OF THE NRN ROCKIES REGION. A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT WILL EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE GREAT BASIN NEWD
   INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS WHERE SLIGHTLY WEAKER WIND SPEEDS WILL
   EXIST. ELSEWHERE...A BROAD AREA OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
   EWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/MS VALLEY IN THE WAKE OF A WEAKENING
   UPPER TROUGH. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE A RESULT ACROSS MOST OF THIS REGION.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MOST OF CENTRAL/ERN
   MT...CENTRAL/WRN WY...PORTIONS OF SRN/ERN ID...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY-NWLY WINDS FROM 25-30 MPH WITH
   GUSTS OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT...WIND SHIFT
   WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE
   
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES
   TODAY. AT THE SFC A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM A SFC LOW OVER SERN
   MT SWWD INTO NWRN NV BY THE AFTERNOON HRS. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
   FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SWLY TO NWLY DIRECTION AND INCREASE
   SUPPORTED BY A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES. MINIMAL LOW LEVEL COOLING INITIALLY WITH THE FRONTAL
   PASSAGE WILL SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL
   HRS/50-100 MILES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL/ERN MT AND
   PORTIONS OF SRN/ERN ID DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS FROM 20-30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
   /STRONGEST OVER THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY AND BEHIND THE FRONT OVER
   CENTRAL MT/ ALONG WITH MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT SUPPORTS A
   EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION TO THE WIND/RH
   RELATED THREAT...ISOLATED DRY TSTMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH
   OF WY AND SRN MT JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT/LEE TROUGH.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER AREA...FROM THE GREAT BASIN NEWD INTO CENTRAL
   ROCKIES/NRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 35 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-15 PERCENT
   
   SOUTH OF THE STRONGEST MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS...LOW RH READINGS WILL
   AGAIN BE COMMON ALONG WITH MODERATE SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH. THE
   ERN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL AREA WILL EXTEND ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE
   LEE TROUGH WHERE A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST ALONG WITH
   SLOWLY INCREASING MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS/STEEP LAPSE RATES. ISOLATED
   MAINLY DRY TSTMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR ERN WY/MT AND FAR
   WRN SD/ND DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HRS.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SCENTRAL TX...
   IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...MUCH LOWER DEWPTS /50S/ WILL FILTER
   SWD INTO THE REGION TODAY. HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR
   SEASONAL NORMS /LOWER-MID 90S/ PRODUCING MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-30
   PERCENT. EARLY MORNING PROFILER DATA INDICATED A NLY LOW LEVEL JET
   OF 20-30 KTS IN THE LOWER FEW THOUSAND FEET OVER CENTRAL/ERN TX.
   SIMILAR CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED OVER OK YESTERDAY MORNING...AND
   DESPITE GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THIS WIND MAX THE REMAINDER OF THE
   MORNING SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS UP
   TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SRN TX.
   COMBINED WITH THE LOW RH READINGS AND LONG TERM SIGNIFICANT
   DROUGHT...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED. LACK OF STRONGER
   SUSTAINED WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 08/30/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 300817
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0317 AM CDT WED AUG 30 2006
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NRN ROCKIES WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD
   THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT...MODERATE SWLY WINDS/LOW
   RH READING WILL DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF WY AND COLORADO. WINDS ARE
   NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE AS STRONG AS TODAY...SO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. BEHIND THE FRONT...NWLY WINDS WILL
   AVERAGE FROM 20-25 MPH OVER ND/MT AND NRN WY...BUT COOLER
   TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP MIN RH READINGS ABOVE 25 PERCENT. UPPER
   RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO REASSERT ITSELF OVER THE WEST COAST LEADING TO
   INCREASING TEMPERATURES/ LOWERING RH READINGS IN THIS REGION.
   ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION SFC HIGH PRESSURE AND THE EFFECTS FROM A
   WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS
   
   ...SRN WY/NWRN CO...
   SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 MPH
   DURING THE AFTERNOON. VERY DRY AIR WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS
   AROUND 15 PERCENT. LACK OF STRONGER SUSTAINED WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 08/30/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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