Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 140942
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0442 AM CDT WED JUN 14 2006
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHERN AZ/SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN UT/WESTERN CO/FAR NORTHWEST NM...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHEAST NV/MUCH OF
UT/NORTHERN AZ/NORTHWEST NM/WESTERN CO/SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL WY...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF
CO/NORTHERN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
WITH BREAKDOWN OF UPPER RIDGE...POTENT UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD TODAY ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...BRINGING STRONG/GUSTY
WINDS AND A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TO A BROAD PORTION OF THE FOUR
CORNERS AREA AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES. A HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER
WILL ALSO EXIST INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WHERE
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NORTHERN AZ/SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN UT/WESTERN CO/NORTHWEST NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS/WIND SHIFT AND LOW RH/WARM
TEMPERATURES
DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST TODAY/THIS EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHERN/EASTERN UT INTO WESTERN CO/NORTHERN AZ/NORTHWEST NM. A
STRONG MID LEVEL JET WILL OVERSPREAD THE FOUR CORNERS AREA/CENTRAL
ROCKIES...WITH COLD FRONT ADVANCING FROM THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE
FOUR CORNERS AREA. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-35 MPH WILL EXIST
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT /WITH GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH/...WITH A WIND
SHIFT TO WEST-NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING IN THE WAKE OF THE
EASTWARD PROGRESSING FRONT. THE STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND WIND SHIFT
WILL PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH/SPREAD OF ONGOING FIRES AND NEW FIRE
STARTS. A DRY/WARM BOUNDARY LAYER WILL LEAD TO DEEP MIXING AND HIGH
HAINES INDICES...WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH VALUES FROM 7-12 PERCENT.
RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR OVERNIGHT...WITH GUSTY WINDS PERSISTING
ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOPS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FAR SOUTHEAST NV/MUCH OF UT/NORTHERN
AZ/FAR NORTHWEST NM/WESTERN CO/SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL WY...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RH/WARM
TEMPERATURES
ALTHOUGH A CRITICAL FIRE THREAT WILL EXIST...WIND SPEEDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE COMPARATIVELY LIGHTER OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION OUTSIDE OF THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA. WITH WARM/DRY
CONDITIONS /ESPECIALLY ACROSS AZ AND NM/...SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WINDS
OF 15-25 MPH WILL BE COMMON...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE EXCEPTION WILL
BE WY...WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-35 MPH ARE LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT
AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL THREAT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF
CO/NORTHERN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS/LOW RH
UPPER TROUGH AND LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE TRAJECTORIES/STRONG HEATING OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED-SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF CO INTO NORTHERN NM. COMBINATION OF
MODEST INSTABILITY AND A DRY/WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL LEAD TO
MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE STARTS
FROM CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC WINDS VIA CONVECTIVE
DOWNDRAFTS.
...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
STRONG/GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN A CORRIDOR FROM
THE TX/OK PANHANDLES INTO MUCH OF NEB. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH.
ALTHOUGH STRONG WINDS WILL FAVOR FAST SPREAD OF ANY ONGOING/NEW
FIRES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...THE OVERALL THREAT WILL BE
TEMPERED BY MARGINAL AFTERNOON RH VIA MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
AND/OR GREEN-UP.
..GUYER.. 06/14/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 141058
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0558 AM CDT WED JUN 14 2006
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL
AZ AND NORTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL NM...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN AZ/MUCH OF
NM/FAR SOUTHEAST UT/SOUTHERN CO...
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN
STATES ON THURSDAY...WITH UPPER RIDGE TRANSITIONING TOWARD THE
EASTERN STATES. ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...A HEIGHTENED FIRE
WEATHER DANGER WILL REMAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOUR CORNERS AREA.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL AZ
AND NORTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH/WARM TEMPERATURES
VERY STRONG WINDS COUPLED WITH EXTREME DROUGHT AND LOW RH/WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL AZ AND NORTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL NM
ON THURSDAY. WITHIN WESTERN STATES UPPER TROUGH...A BELT OF STRONG
MID LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. GIVEN
WARM TEMPERATURES/DRY AIRMASS AND DEEP VERTICAL
MIXING...SOUTHWEST-WEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE COMMON DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...WITH POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45-50
MPH. THE STRONG WINDS ARE LIKELY TO ADVERSELY IMPACT ONGOING FIRES
WITH FAST FIRE GROWTH/SPREAD. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE AROUND 8-12
PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NORTHERN AND EASTERN AZ/MUCH OF
NM/FAR SOUTHEAST UT/SOUTHERN CO...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY SOUTHWEST-WEST WINDS AND LOW RH/WARM
TEMPERATURES
WHILE THE GREATEST FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL EXIST ACROSS THE EXTREMELY
CRITICAL AREA...MODERATELY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH/WARM TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A CRITICAL FIRE THREAT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
EASTERN/NORTHERN AZ INTO FAR SOUTHEAST UT/SOUTHERN CO AND MUCH OF
NM. SUSTAINED WINDS SPEEDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL BE COMMON...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN CO INTO MUCH OF NM...WHICH COULD YIELD NEW
FIRE STARTS/LOCALLY ERRATIC WINDS.
..GUYER.. 06/14/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...