Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on May 7, 2024

Updated: Tue May 7 21:51:03 UTC 2024

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on May 7, 2024
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on May 7, 2024

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on May 7, 2024

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on May 7, 2024

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on May 7, 2024

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on May 7, 2024

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on May 7, 2024

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Thu, May 09, 2024 - Fri, May 10, 2024 D6Sun, May 12, 2024 - Mon, May 13, 2024
D4Fri, May 10, 2024 - Sat, May 11, 2024 D7Mon, May 13, 2024 - Tue, May 14, 2024
D5Sat, May 11, 2024 - Sun, May 12, 2024 D8Tue, May 14, 2024 - Wed, May 15, 2024
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 072147

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0447 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024

   Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

   A continental air mass and a building surface high will overspread
   the central/southern Plains beyond D2/Wednesday, which will limit
   fire weather concerns for much of the extended. Elsewhere across the
   country, widespread precipitation chances and/or recent rainfall
   will limit fire weather concerns. 

   Continued upper-level troughing over the western US will support
   weak lee troughing across the High Plains and will maintain areas of
   dry/breezy conditions across eastern AZ/southwest NM. This may
   support episodes of Elevated fire weather concerns. Rain chances are
   forecast to increase towards the end of the work week across the
   Four Corners/southern High Plains, which should further limit fire
   potential.

   ..Thornton.. 05/07/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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