Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Mon May 27 16:58:02 UTC 2024 ( | )

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 271656

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1156 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

   Valid 271700Z - 281200Z

   Only minor edits were made to expand the Elevated further northward
   in south-central New Mexico in alignment with latest trends in
   guidance. Otherwise, the D1 Fire Weather Outlook remains on track.
   See previous discussion for more information.

   ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon across
   parts of southern New Mexico and far West Texas. Latest fuel
   analyses show that the driest fuels reside over southeast NM into
   far West TX where multiple days of very dry conditions (single-digit
   RH minimums) have allowed for substantial curing of 10 and 100-hour
   fuels. Despite the favorable fuel conditions, upper-level ridging
   combined with weakening mid-level flow will yield weaker surface
   winds compared to previous days. Westerly winds are forecast to
   generally reach 10-15 mph for most locations, but a swath of
   southern NM/far West TX should see a few hours of winds closer to 15
   mph (occasionally gusting to near 20 mph) that will support elevated
   fire weather conditions given forecast afternoon RH minimums between
   5-15%.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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